SREC Revenue Forecast

Estimate the cash flow from selling Solar Renewable Energy Credits by pairing annual MWh production with your target SREC clearing price. Layer in broker fees and production adjustments to surface gross revenue, net cash, and per-megawatt-hour economics.

Metered solar generation eligible for SREC issuance over a year.
Expected sale price per SREC in your compliance market.
Optional. Defaults to 5%. Covers transaction fees or aggregator spreads.
Optional. Defaults to 0%. Use for degradation, curtailment, or weather derates.

Market pricing varies by state program and compliance year. Confirm volumes and brokerage agreements before booking revenue.

Examples

  • 1,250 MWh, $245 per SREC, 5% fee, -2% adjustment ⇒ Adjusted production: 1,225.00 MWh • Gross SREC revenue: $300,125.00 USD • Fees & spreads: $15,006.25 USD • Net annual revenue: $285,118.75 USD • Net per MWh: $232.78 USD • Net per month: $23,759.90 USD.
  • 900 MWh, $210 per SREC, optional fields blank ⇒ Adjusted production: 900.00 MWh • Gross SREC revenue: $189,000.00 USD • Fees & spreads: $9,450.00 USD • Net annual revenue: $179,550.00 USD • Net per MWh: $199.50 USD • Net per month: $14,962.50 USD.

FAQ

Can I model multi-year degradation?

Run the calculator for each year with its own performance adjustment percentage. Many asset managers assume 0.5–1.0% annual degradation on fixed-tilt PV arrays.

How do I include vintage-specific pricing?

Use the SREC price input that matches the compliance vintage you expect to sell into. If you stack vintages, run separate scenarios and sum the net cash flows.

What if I self-retire some SRECs?

Reduce the eligible MWh input by the portion you plan to retain for ESG claims so only saleable certificates are monetized in the output.

Does the fee input cover registry charges?

Yes—add broker spreads, registry fees, and transaction charges together to reflect the all-in haircut before you receive funds.

Additional Information

  • Result unit: U.S. dollars for annual and monthly SREC revenue after fees.
  • Performance adjustment scales MWh before pricing, letting you mirror expected degradation or curtailment.
  • Net per MWh provides a quick benchmark against power purchase agreements or renewable energy certificate swaps.

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