Grant Application Success Probability
Estimate the chance of receiving at least one award when submitting multiple grant applications.
Probabilities are estimates; actual results may vary.
Examples
- 3 applications at 20% ⇒ 48.8% chance
- 5 applications at 10% ⇒ 40.95% chance
- 1 application at 30% ⇒ 30% chance
FAQ
Are application outcomes independent?
Yes, this model assumes each decision is made separately.
Can the success rate exceed 100%?
No, it must be between 0 and 100.
Does this guarantee funding?
No, the result is only a probability estimate.
What if applications have different success rates?
Use an average rate or calculate each one individually and combine results.
Additional Information
- Assumes each application has the same independent success rate.
- Submitting more applications or increasing individual success rates raises your overall chances.